Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2007
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
F9 2007 · DTW → FLL
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 7:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Mon 10/12 41%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 24%
Thu 10/15 38%
Fri 10/16 37%
Sat 10/17 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.