Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2107
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 2107 · FSD → DEN
departs 1:41 AM CT · arrives 2:16 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.1d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.