Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2908
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 2908 · ONT → DEN
departs 11:32 AM PT · arrives 2:57 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 33%
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sun 10/18 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
DEN is prone to delays
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.