F9 3339 · PHL → DEN

departs 5:50 AM ET · arrives 8:01 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3339 · PHL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?