Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 3451 · FLL → CLE
departs 4:58 PM ET · arrives 7:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Tue 10/13
Thu 10/15 40%
Fri 10/16 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.