Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 4411 · BWI → FLL
departs 1:59 PM ET · arrives 5:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 12%
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 38%
Sat 10/17 28%
Sun 10/18 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.