Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4166
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
G7 4166 · BGR → EWR
departs 12:05 PM ET · arrives 1:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 32%
Thu 10/15 28%
Fri 10/16 37%
Sat 10/17 30%
Sun 10/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BGR that day
↑
12pm departures from BGR are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.72 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.