Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4187
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
G7 4187 · EWR → BUF
departs 1:48 PM ET · arrives 3:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 29%
Sat 10/17 22%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at BUF that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.