Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4545
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
G7 4545 · YOW → IAD
departs 2:55 PM EDT · arrives 4:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Mon 10/12 22%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave YOW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at YOW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
YOW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.02 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.