Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4562
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
G7 4562 · EWR → BTV
departs 1:19 PM ET · arrives 2:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Mon 10/12 19%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at BTV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BTV?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BTV that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from EWR are often late
↓
BTV usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BTV (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.68 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.