Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
IBERIA · FLIGHT IB 347
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
IB 347 · MAD → BOS
departs 1:50 PM CEST · arrives 3:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Mon 10/12 39%
Tue 10/13
Thu 10/15 21%
Sat 10/17 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MAD
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MAD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.