Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 4212 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

KG 4212 · AIA → DEN

departs 12:50 PM MT · arrives 2:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at AIA that day

Weather at each end

AIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 4212 · AIA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?