Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 4235 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

KG 4235 · AIA → DEN

departs 8:00 AM MT · arrives 9:04 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AIA that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 4235 · AIA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?