Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
LUFTHANSA · FLIGHT LH 422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
LH 422 · FRA → BOS
departs 1:30 PM CEST · arrives 3:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Mon 10/12 39%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 37%
Thu 10/15 22%
Sat 10/17 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave FRA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FRA
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FRA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.