Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
LUFTHANSA · FLIGHT LH 446
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Today
LH 446 · FRA → DEN
departs 1:30 PM CEST · arrives 3:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 24%
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave FRA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FRA
Weather at each end
FRA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.