LH 480 · MUC → DEN

departs 11:49 AM CEST · arrives 2:19 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MUC

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MUC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LH 480 · MUC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?