Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3387
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
MQ 3387 · PHX → CRQ
departs 10:25 AM MT · arrives 3:46 PM -03
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 12%
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 12%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at CRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CRQ?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into CRQ at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
CRQ (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.