MQ 3773 · RDM → PHX

departs 5:30 AM PT · arrives 7:57 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

Weather at each end

RDM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3773 · RDM → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?