Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

EGYPTAIR · FLIGHT MS 986 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

MS 986 · JFK → CAI

departs 1:15 PM ET · arrives 6:20 AM EEST
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 52h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at CAI more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CAI?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.