Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5129 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:47 PM ET (20 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5129 · PHL → PWM

departs 5:10 PM ET · arrives 6:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PWM?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at PWM that day

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PWM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PWM (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.72 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5129 · PHL → PWM

Odds over time

How late will it get to PWM?