OH 5356 · MKE → PHL

departs 12:51 PM CT · arrives 4:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling8,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5356 · MKE → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?