Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5640 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

OH 5640 · DFW → DSM

departs 7:16 AM CT · arrives 9:18 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5640 · DFW → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?