Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3119
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3119 · SLC → SAN
departs 2:18 PM MT · arrives 3:29 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 17%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±6 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.67 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.