Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3144
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 3144 · SAN → PHX
departs 7:55 AM PT · arrives 9:22 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 20%
Thu 10/15 32%
Fri 10/16 29%
Sat 10/17 28%
Sun 10/18 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.