Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3680
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3680 · SEA → TUS
departs 9:03 AM PT · arrives 12:15 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Mon 10/12 10%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 13%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
↑
TUS is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.