OO 3709 · ATL → XNA

departs 10:10 AM ET · arrives 11:08 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

XNA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3709 · ATL → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?