Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3822
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3822 · TUS → SLC
departs 4:51 PM MT · arrives 7:52 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 7%
Thu 10/15 7%
Fri 10/16 7%
Sun 10/18 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late
↓
This flight has been late 7% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TUS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.