Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3895
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3895 · SLC → IDA
departs 5:10 PM MT · arrives 6:18 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Mon 10/12 16%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 6%
Thu 10/15 8%
Fri 10/16 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at IDA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IDA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at IDA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IDA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.83 in
IDA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.