Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3898
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 3898 · DTW → MBS
departs 10:10 AM ET · arrives 11:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 11%
Sun 10/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at MBS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MBS?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at MBS that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MBS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.