Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3962
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3962 · MBS → DTW
departs 6:55 AM ET · arrives 7:49 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 10/12 10%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 8%
Thu 10/15 9%
Fri 10/16 8%
Sat 10/17 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DTW that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MBS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.03 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.