Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3976
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3976 · TVC → DTW
departs 12:16 PM ET · arrives 1:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Mon 10/12 16%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at TVC that day
↑
Other factors
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.