Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4037
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4037 · SUN → SLC
departs 7:20 AM MT · arrives 8:27 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Mon 10/12 6%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 3%
Thu 10/15 3%
Fri 10/16 3%
Sat 10/17 3%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave SUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SUN
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 3% of the time recently
↓
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SUN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.83 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.