Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 4054 · SLC → TUS
departs 8:30 PM MT · arrives 9:29 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 10%
Fri 10/16 11%
Sat 10/17 9%
Sun 10/18 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
TUS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.67 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.