Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4253
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4253 · SGU → SLC
departs 1:12 PM MT · arrives 2:29 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Mon 10/12 30%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 7%
Thu 10/15 8%
Fri 10/16 6%
Sat 10/17 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
SGU is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGU
↓
This flight has been late 7% of the time recently
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SGU (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 1,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.19 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.82 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.