Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4315
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4315 · SGU → SLC
departs 5:36 PM MT · arrives 6:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Mon 10/12 28%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 8%
Thu 10/15 8%
Fri 10/16 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
SGU is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SGU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.23 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.83 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.