Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4318
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4318 · SLC → CDC
departs 7:45 AM MT · arrives 8:51 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Mon 10/12 14%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 4%
Thu 10/15 5%
Fri 10/16 5%
Sat 10/17 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at CDC more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CDC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at CDC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CDC?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at CDC that day
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into CDC at that hour are usually not late
↓
This flight has been late 7% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.82 in
CDC (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.