Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4333
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4333 · CNY → SLC
departs 5:36 PM MT · arrives 6:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Mon 10/12 33%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 14%
Sat 10/17 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave CNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at CNY
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CNY (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.22 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.82 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.