OO 4641 · DRO → DEN

departs 5:15 AM MT · arrives 6:55 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from DRO are usually not late

Weather at each end

DRO (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,767 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.23 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4641 · DRO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?