OO 4704 · DEN → GJT

departs 9:35 AM MT · arrives 10:44 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at GJT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GJT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at GJT that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into GJT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

GJT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4704 · DEN → GJT

Odds over time

How late will it get to GJT?