Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4746
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 4746 · BNA → IAH
departs 8:46 AM CT · arrives 11:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 8%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 22%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.