Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4980
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4980 · DFW → IAH
departs 10:19 AM CT · arrives 11:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Mon 10/12 25%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 27%
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.