Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5269
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 5269 · IAH → MFE
departs 12:11 PM CT · arrives 1:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Mon 10/12 22%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 20%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sat 10/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at IAH that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.