Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5285
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 5285 · MEM → IAH
departs 11:40 AM CT · arrives 1:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 21%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.