Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5510
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 5510 · SFO → CRQ
departs 10:23 AM PT · arrives 4:07 PM -03
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Mon 10/12 25%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 28%
Thu 10/15 31%
Fri 10/16 33%
Sat 10/17 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at CRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CRQ?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CRQ (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.