Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5519
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 5519 · CRQ → SFO
departs 11:22 AM -03 · arrives 9:05 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 35%
Fri 10/16 33%
Sat 10/17 27%
Sun 10/18 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CRQ (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.