Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5804
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 5804 · SHV → IAH
departs 9:22 AM CT · arrives 10:39 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Mon 10/12 16%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 19%
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
SHV is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SHV (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.