Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 5843 · IAH → CRP
departs 12:03 PM CT · arrives 1:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 28%
Sat 10/17 25%
Sun 10/18 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.47 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.