OO 5927 · DEN → RAP

departs 7:55 AM MT · arrives 9:19 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at RAP that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into RAP at that hour are usually not late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

RAP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5927 · DEN → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?