OO 6083 · TUS → DEN

departs 8:09 AM MT · arrives 10:48 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DEN that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

TUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6083 · TUS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?