Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6247
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 6247 · PHX → PVU
departs 12:15 PM MT · arrives 2:58 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Mon 10/12 31%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at PVU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVU?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at PVU that day
↑
12pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PVU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
PVU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.71 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.